American Idol 12 Winner Predictions After Top 40 Selection (Angie Miller FTW)

American Idol 12 has now reached its Top 40, which consists of 20 girls and 20 boys. The next phase of the competition is Las Vegas. It is one round, with the judges picking 5 guys or 5 girls each episode for 4 episodes. So it’s pretty risky making winner predictions at this stage since the producers could force a shock elimination in the Las Vegas round.

And voting results are fairly unpredictable in the early going. For example, who honestly would have picked David Cook or Kris Allen before the live voting rounds? Just about no one except people drawing names out of a hat. Nonetheless, this is just for fun. So I’ll predict, anyway.

Last year was an easy pick because Phillip Phillips is like the poster boy of what American Idol viewers have been voting for in recent years. I don’t like the “white guy with guitar” concept and actually think there are many reasons why some of these guys won, arguably over better talent. I really think it’s more of the laid-back style and personality than what they look like.

But suffice it to say there doesn’t seem to be a Phillip Phillips in this entire group. Like Season 9, it seems there is an actual attempt to cast better girls this year talent wise, as well. I mean, when Charlie Askew and Lazaro Arbos are the guys getting the buzz coming into the Top 40, you damn sure know there’s some manipulation going on. Add to that the fact that the next most hyped guy is Curtis Finch, Jr, a guy who has a snowball’s chance in Hell of winning. Well, it’s not hard to figure out what the producers are doing here.

Here is my short list of who I think at least has some chance of winning. But one or more of these might actually be cut in the Top 40 by the judges or Top 20 in the first voting round.

1. Angela (Angie) Miller

Girls haven’t won in forever. But again, I think that’s more about style and personality than gender (of course, the guys do seem to have some advantage with the current voters on American Idol). This girl seems to have the style of someone who could win. And while she is a Christian, she’s not in your face like some contestants. Kris Allen is also Christian. Most people at home didn’t know that and really don’t care as long as you don’t start preaching to them.

She is good looking, which does seem to help more with the guys than it does with the girls. But I think Angie is pretty in a non-threatening kind of way. So I feel like it is a positive in her case. She just doesn’t look like that slutty type that would steal your boyfriend.

She certainly sings well enough to be an Idol winner even if you don’t think she is the best singer. And she has been cast as the singer-songwriter type, which does win American Idol.

2. Candice Glover

Angie, Candice, and Janell Arthur seem to be the producers’ top 3 girls. So I at least have to mention Candice as one of the favorites. But I think her performances are pretty consistently overrated. She mostly sings loudly and shows some occasional excellent vocal technique. And she identifies herself as an R&B singer. We’ll get lots of runs, and that only takes you so far on Idol. You have to sit there and softly deliver a song with emotion sometimes. And I haven’t seen her do that yet (my opinion, of course).

3. Janelle Arthur

I mention Janelle mostly because you can’t ignore the fact that country seems to have a voting advantage on Idol. And that advantage seems to have gotten even stronger over time. Erin Kelly can barely sing and made the Top 5. Lauren, who is not very marketable at all, probably would have won if Scotty hadn’t been there. Janelle has a great vocal tone, as well. But she doesn’t seem to have the personality of other winners.

4. Kree Harrison

I at least have to mention this potential darkhorse. She was not featured throughout the competition until the very last audition round. A lot of people loved her “Stars” performance. The fact that she hasn’t been featured may suggest a lack of star qualities, though. I didn’t get goosebumps like Keith Urban did. But maybe I will the next time. I consider Kree a longshot at this point.

There are plenty of other talented girls. I just don’t see them winning at this point.

5. Lazaro Arbos

I believe this guy is overrated and at risk of crashing and burning pretty fast. But you at least have to mention someone who has had the biggest buzz in the early going.

6. Paul Jolley

This guy has been shown a couple of times. He sort of fits the mold of previous winners and appears to be very popular in relation to the amount of time he has been shown. He also seems to be country but with some added versatility. The negative is this guy seems less masculine than previous winners. Some even think he is gay, but I am not sure about that. If Adam Lambert and Clay Aiken can’t win, it’s going to be hard for any guy perceived to be gay to win. That’s not anti-gay on the voters’ part in my opinion. It’s pro-hot-guy-I-adore on the part of women voters.

7. Charlie Askew

Well, this would be a first. No one who has ever identified himself as “weird” has ever gone on to win American Idol. I like this guy. But he screams “supporting Broadway actor” or something like that instead of “Billboard pop star.” Vocally, he is good at times. But he loses the vocal control at other times. This guy should get plenty of “quirky personality” votes for a while. But the act will get a little bit tired. And his voice won’t be stellar enough to make him the winner of American Idol 12.

8. Jimmy Smith

Jimmy has been shown a few times. The problem I see with Jimmy at this point is that he is in competition with Paul Jolley. The judges/producers might even cut him in the Top 40 round. And for whatever reason, I think this guy is great, but others don’t seem to share the same enthusiasm. So I have to mention Smith but consider him a longshot.

9. Nick Boddington

Nick had perhaps the best solo-round performance in Hollywood. His “Stars” was great. I’d give the edge to Angie Miller in that round. You can’t totally count out such a great singer who is also a musician. But some people just exude star qualities. And Nick is at risk of being overshadowed in this category. He also doesn’t seem to have an edgy side, which may actually be the reason David Archuleta took 2nd instead of winning. He only sang ballads and has no edge at all to his voice. I haven’t heard enough yet. But Nick seems to have the same problem.

Rankings:

So many factors go into how contestants finish in these contests, that it would be really hard to predict an exact finishing order. For now, though, you can see my predictions for the Top 7 below.

Looking at all the factors, I have decided to pick Angie Miller to win American Idol 12 despite the fact that so many people think a girl simply can’t win. Maybe a girl can’t win at this point with the current voting rules. But with this crop of guys, it seems like now or never.

1. Angie Miller
2. Paul Jolley
3. Janelle Arthur
4. Candice Glover
5. Charlie Askew
6. Kree Harrison
7. Nick Boddington

Update: Charlie and Nick did not make it to the Top 10. Curtis and Devin did, and Amber has come out of nowhere to make the top 10. The other 5 that I picked above are still looking very strong. One of them will surely win.

I do believe these 7 will at least make the Top 10. If Angie does not win, then I think Paul or Janelle will win.

If Curtis Finch or Jimmy Smith make the Top 10, then I could see them making the Top 7. Lazaro could also make the Top 7. If Rachel Hale can make the Top 10, she could go pretty far but won’t win. Of course, 1 or 2 people I haven’t mentioned here will probably creep up there into at least the Top 7. There is always someone that comes out of nowhere. Devin Velez, Cortez Shaw, Johnny Keyser, Shubha Vedula, and Melinda Ademi, for example, have a decent chance of doing pretty well in American Idol 12 if they can make it to the Top 20 first by surviving the judges’ eliminations. I also love Isabel (Pasqualone) and think she has a shot at going pretty deep if she can just get to the Top 10.

Below, you can see the Top 20 guys and Top 20 girls.

Top 20 Females

1. Adriana Latonio
2. Amber Holcomb
3. Angela Miller
4. Aubrey Cleland
5. Brandy Hotard
6. Breanna Steer
7. Candice Glover
8. Cristabel Clack
9. Isabel Pasqualone
10. Janelle Arthur
11. Jenny Beth Willis
12. Jett Hermano
13. Juliana Chahayed
14. Kamaria Ousley
15. Kree Harrison
16. Melinda Ademi
17. Rachel Hale
18. Shubha Vedula
19. Tenna Torres
20. Zoanette Johnson

Top 20 Males

1. Bryant Tadeo
2. Burnell Taylor
3. Charlie Askew
4. Chris Watson
5. Cortez Shaw
6. Curtis Finch, Jr.
7. David Willis
8. Devin Velez
9. Elijah Liu
10. Gurpreet Singh Sarin
11. Jimmy Smith
12. Johnny Keyser
13. Joshua “Josh” Holiday
14. Joshua “Josh” Jada Davila
15. Kevin Harris
16. Lazaro Arbos
17. Mathenee Treco
18. Nick Boddington
19. Paul Jolley
20. Vincent “Vince” Powell

American Idol 12 Oklahoma City Auditions: Steven Tyler Shows Up To Audition In Drag (January 31, 2013)

The 12th season of American Idol wrapped up its initial city-based auditions on January 31, 2013. This episode was for Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. So next week, the audition episodes switch over to Hollywood Week.

Aerosmith lead singer Steven Tyler was a judge on American Idol in Seasons 10 and 11. He was replaced for Season 12. Tyler showed up to the Oklahoma City auditions in drag. He didn’t sing but made fun of the judges. He then whipped off his wig and took out his “breasts.”

Steven then runs out and puts the wig on Ryan Seacrest.

You can see all of my articles for this season by clicking on “american idol 12″ in the tags below. Click on “american idol auditions” to find just the audition articles and videos.

American Idol 12 Audition And Predictions For Kayden Stephenson In Oklahoma City (January 31, 2013)

The 12th season of American Idol wrapped up its initial city-based auditions on January 31, 2013. This episode was for Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. So next week, the audition episodes switch over to Hollywood Week.

I will upload the official YouTube video for Kayden Stephenson’s performance as soon as it is available from American Idol’s channel.

Kayden’s Audition:

This kid is 16. But he looks like he could be 12 or 13. He has cystic fibrosis, which might be why he looks so young. He has a great deal of confidence. But his singing is not on the same level as his confidence. The voice is just too puny for a contest like Idol.

Predictions:

According to spoilers posted online, Kayden did not make the Top 20 boys. Even if he did, this singer has almost no chance of making a deep run. His voice just isn’t strong enough.

You can see all of my articles for this season by clicking on “american idol 12″ in the tags below. Click on “american idol auditions” to find just the audition articles and videos.

American Idol 12 Audition And Predictions For Anastacia Freeman In Oklahoma City (January 31, 2013)

The 12th season of American Idol wrapped up its initial city-based auditions on January 31, 2013. This episode was for Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. So next week, the audition episodes switch over to Hollywood Week.

I will upload the official YouTube video for Anastacia Freeman’s performance as soon as it is available from American Idol’s channel.

Anastacia’s Audition:

This contestant is 25 years old. She was crying before she went in, saying it was an honor to audition in front of the judges. Ryan gets her a tissue to wipe her eyes.

She sings Toni Braxton’s “Unbreak My Heart.” This is a really bad performance, and she has no chance of making it to Hollywood.

And now we get to the reason she auditioned. She thinks God DIRECTLY told her to audition for American Idol. Maybe she’s crazy, or maybe she is making it up. But she is not going to Hollywood.

Predictions:

God will tell Anastacia to do something else. And she will suck at that, too.

You can see all of my articles for this season by clicking on “american idol 12″ in the tags below. Click on “american idol auditions” to find just the audition articles and videos.

American Idol 12 Audition And Predictions For Zoanette Johnson In Oklahoma City (January 31, 2013)

The 12th season of American Idol wrapped up its initial city-based auditions on January 31, 2013. This episode was for Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. So next week, the audition episodes switch over to Hollywood Week.

I will upload the official YouTube video for Zoanette Johnson’s performance as soon as it is available from American Idol’s channel.

Zoanette Johnson’s Audition:

Zoanette is 19 and lives in Tulsa, Oklahoma. She is quite an attention grabber in a funky sort of way, shaking her butt for the camera. She sings the National Anthem. Well, she has a range and some power. But it was kind of rough throughout, with awkward pauses. Keith fell out of his chair when she hit her high note.

She has a personality that gets annoying after 90 seconds.

All of the judges send her to Hollywood, presumably as comic relief.

Predictions:

There is a rumor in the spoilers posted online that Zoanette made the Top 20 girls this year. If so, she is only one step away from making the voting rounds.

You can see all of my articles for this season by clicking on “american idol 12″ in the tags below. Click on “american idol auditions” to find just the audition articles and videos.

American Idol 12 Audition And Predictions For Halie Hilburn In Oklahoma City (January 31, 2013)

The 12th season of American Idol wrapped up its initial city-based auditions on January 31, 2013. This episode was for Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. So next week, the audition episodes switch over to Hollywood Week.

I will upload the official YouTube video for Halie Hilburn’s performance as soon as it is available from American Idol’s channel.

Halie’s Audition:

Hilburn is 27 years old. She is from Vernon, Texas, which just happens to be my hometown.

She brings along a dog puppet named Oscar. Halie is a ventriloquist and a singer. She then does a duet with Oscar. They sing “Cowboy Sweetheart.” She is just an okay singer but pretty entertaining overall. The dog yodeled during the performance.

Halie sings something again without the puppet, and Keith and Mariah tell her to ditch the dog and just sing. They and Nicki give her a YES, so she is off to Hollywood.

Predictions:

Halie might do better on a show like America’s Got Talent, whose producers and voters appreciate this sort of thing more. Purely as a singer, she is not as good as a lot of the other country artists this year.

You can see all of my articles for this season by clicking on “american idol 12″ in the tags below. Click on “american idol auditions” to find just the audition articles and videos.

American Idol 12 Audition And Predictions For Nate Tao In Oklahoma City (January 31, 2013)

The 12th season of American Idol wrapped up its initial city-based auditions on January 31, 2013. This episode was for Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. So next week, the audition episodes switch over to Hollywood Week.

I will upload the official YouTube video for Nate Tao’s performance as soon as it is available from American Idol’s channel.

Nate Tao’s Audition:

24-year-old Nate is from Reston, Virginia. He sings Stevie Wonder’s “For Once In My Life.” His backstory is that both of Tao’s parents are deaf. Because of his background, his job is an ASL (American Sign Language) teacher.

Nate is just an okay singer. There aren’t many vocal dynamics there. It’s just a pleasant style that isn’t particularly emotional. And why do people even sing Stevie Wonder songs? The guy has got to be the most overrated songwriter in history. His songs rarely have a beat that catches people or enough emotion for live singing.

There was a lot of exaggerating from the judges, and Nate easily got 4 YES votes from the judges.

Predictions:

From spoilers I have read online, it appears that Nate Tao did not make the Top 20 boys this season.

You can see all of my articles for this season by clicking on “american idol 12″ in the tags below. Click on “american idol auditions” to find just the audition articles and videos.

American Idol 12 Audition And Predictions For Karl Skinner In Oklahoma City (January 31, 2013)

The 12th season of American Idol wrapped up its initial city-based auditions on January 31, 2013. This episode was for Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. So next week, the audition episodes switch over to Hollywood Week.

I will upload the official YouTube video for Karl Skinner’s performance as soon as it is available from American Idol’s channel.

Karl Skinner’s Audition:

This contestant is from Joplin, Missouri. He got married to Kim in March and says she makes waking up every morning worth it. Karl sings “I Feel Good.” He is kind of a good singer. But he also does some silly dance and treats the performance sort of like it’s a comedy routine.

They have Skinner play guitar and sing an original song. It’s just okay, but his singing is even worse on the original. It should be the other way around it seems.

The judges all liked him overall. He got 4 YES votes from the judges.

Predictions:

Karl Skinner doesn’t have much of any chance to win or make a deep run on Idol. That’s not a negative statement. He’s fun to watch but just isn’t the type of entertainer to do well in this type of singing contest.

You can see all of my articles for this season by clicking on “american idol 12″ in the tags below. Click on “american idol auditions” to find just the audition articles and videos.

YouTube Video: American Idol 12 Audition And Predictions For Brian Martinez (January 30, 2013)

So far, American Idol 12 has aired some of the auditions from New York, Chicago, Charlotte, and Baton Rouge. For January 30, 2013, Idol has an episode that combines Season 12 auditions from both San Antonio, Texas, and Long Beach, California.

I will upload the YouTube video of Brian Martinez’s audition as soon as it is available. That is usually within a day or so that the performances air on TV.

Brian’s Audition:

Brian Martinez is 21 years old. He was singing in the restroom, and some guy told him to audition on American Idol.

Brian sings Phil Collins’ “You’ll Be In My Heart.” He is obviously not a real singer, and this is a joke audition. He get a NO from all the judges (Nicki wasn’t there). He acts disappointed. This must be a joke. He doesn’t seem crazy or delusional. So he has to know he simply can’t sing.

Predictions For This Contestant:

I can’t think of why any show would want to use Brian even as a joke audition in the future. It wasn’t even funny or believable this time.

Click on “american idol 12″ below and bookmark that page to check out all my weekly articles on this new season of Idol. On Thursday the 24th, the auditions will be moving to Baton Rouge, Louisiana.

YouTube Video: American Idol 12 Audition And Predictions For Jesaiah Baer (January 30, 2013)

So far, American Idol 12 has aired some of the auditions from New York, Chicago, Charlotte, and Baton Rouge. For January 30, 2013, Idol has an episode that combines Season 12 auditions from both San Antonio, Texas, and Long Beach, California.

I will upload the YouTube video of Jesaiah Baer’s audition as soon as it is available. That is usually within a day or so that the performances air on TV.

Jesaiah Baer’s Audition:

Jesaiah Baer is 16. She sings “Settle Down,” by Kimbra. Suddenly, some kind of alarm goes off. They had to exit the Queen Mary, which is the historic ship that is docked permanently in Long Beach. Finally, they come back. Jesaiah is pretty darn good. She has a jazzy style and can do some of the more difficult scatting.

Randy seemed really impressed with the difficulty level and her skill. The others just didn’t seem that enthused even though they said they liked it. But Baer still got 4 YES votes from the judges.

Predictions For Jesaiah:

Baer gave a credible performance. I found it similar to but better than these Melanie Martinez types (The Voice 3) that you see a lot these days on singing shows. But that type of singer seems to never win. And I did not see Jesaiah on the list of spoilers for this year’s Top 40 contestants.

Click on “american idol 12″ below and bookmark that page to check out all my weekly articles on this new season of Idol. On Thursday the 24th, the auditions will be moving to Baton Rouge, Louisiana.